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Legit or Quit: 2009 Career Years Analyzed
Cody Crosby, FantasyJuice.com

Each season many players post career numbers but are these numbers legit? Those who posted career numbers last season are analyzed below.

When predicting production for 2010 it is important to look at least year's stats and compare it to career averages. For some players, increases can be expected while others are bound to regress.

Below are some of the top-ranked players heading into the 2010 season. Use this list as a tool to judge value for these players during your draft.

R HR RBI SB AVG
Mark Reynolds
2009 98 44 102 24 .260
Career Average 92 33 97 13 .257
2010 Projected 95 35 100 12 .250
Comments A break-out year from the strikeout king. Look for significant declines in HRs and SBs, seriously affecting his value during the season. He's a solid contributor but kills your team average.
Justin Upton
2009 84 26 86 20 .300
Career Average 82 23 74 12 .272
2010 Projected 90 27 90 18 .282
Comments Fantastic sophomore year from a rising star. Don't overpay expecting huge increases in power and speed. Temper expectations and let others take him at inflated prices in non-keeper leagues.
Joe Mauer
2009 94 28 96 4 .365
Career Average 92 16 88 8 .327
2010 Projected 95 21 88 2 .335
Comments What a season from Minnesota's heartthrob. His power will regress a bit but he's still the best catcher option out there. His average will return to humanly numbers as well.
Matt Kemp
2009 97 26 101 34 .297
Career Average 89 20 81 28 .299
2010 Projected 102 28 95 31 .303
Comments A permanent move up the batting order should help Kemp repeat similar numbers to 2009. A 30/30 season is not out of the question.
Aaron Hill
2009 103 36 108 6 .286
Career Average 80 16 72 5 .285
2010 Projected 98 25 95 4 .282
Comments If you saw Hill's 2009 season coming then I want you to pick my lotto numbers. His power was far beyond his career numbers so expect a significant decline.
Ryan Zimmerman
2009 110 33 106 2 .292
Career Average 90 23 94 5 .284
2010 Projected 97 34 102 3 .287
Comments He is still young at 25 so an increase in power would come as no surprise. Playing for the Nationals, do not expect his totals to rise next season.
Jayson Werth
2009 98 36 99 20 .268
Career Average 82 23 80 16 .265
2010 Projected 95 32 92 19 .273
Comments Werth's draft price will be high this season but don't expect significant increases in any statistic.
Kendry Morales
2009 86 34 108 3 .306
Career Average 70 26 85 2 .283
2010 Projected 88 35 104 1 .295
Comments Morales made the most of his time in 2009. He should see a decline in AVG but all other stats should hold steady on a potent Angels offense.
Jason Bartlett
2009 90 14 66 30 .320
Career Average 77 7 52 24 .287
2010 Projected 88 11 57 26 .291
Comments The power and AVG came out of nowhere in 2009. AVG will decrease along with HRs.
Andre Ethier
2009 92 31 106 6 .272
Career Average 75 20 81 5 .291
2010 Projected 95 33 103 4 .281
Comments Ethier's stats improve each season, except for AVG in 2009. His power should hold steady and AVG should improve as he figures out lefties once again.


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