We analyze players from the 2009 season who were healthy bu saw significant declines in production. Are they still legit performers or should you finally stop drafting them?
The 2010 seasons of the following players are projected based on 2009's numbers and career averages. The career average is calculated dividing career totals by the number of games played and then multiplying by 155 games.
| | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
| 2009 | 63 | 7 | 53 | 11 | .250 |
| Career Average | 82 | 13 | 75 | 16 | .276 |
| 2010 Projected | 74 | 14 | 66 | 9 | .279 |
| Comments | 2009 marked the third straight year seeing a decline in OPS for Martin. He will get more rest during 2010, leaving him less fatigued which should help his overall numbers. Except totals near his career averages except for the decrease in speed. |
| |
| 2009 | 79 | 11 | 55 | 42 | .241 |
| Career Average | 87 | 15 | 68 | 37 | .266 |
| 2010 Projected | 92 | 14 | 59 | 35 | .260 |
| Comments | Like Martin above, Upton saw his third straight year of declining OPS. His power should climb back up a bit and expect a better eye as he matures, leading to a better OBP in 2010. His peak speed was probably in 2008 so don't draft him expecting 50+ steals. |
| |
| 2009 | 77 | 28 | 99 | 0 | .238 |
| Career Average | 95 | 34 | 114 | 1 | .282 |
| 2010 Projected | 85 | 30 | 102 | 0 | .257 |
| Comments | As we've pointed out before when calling Ortiz a , his numbers last season weren't bad considering he couldn't hit the broad side of a barn to start the season. His average should creep up a little bit and the power and run production should still be there. |
| |
| 2009 | 54 | 8 | 44 | 13 | .265 |
| Career Average | 76 | 23 | 84 | 10 | .270 |
| 2010 Projected | 75 | 19 | 72 | 6 | .268 |
| Comments | A move to the Boston will have many owners touting Beltre as a 2010 sleeper. While his numbers will improve over last season's disaster, do not expect great things next season. |
| |
| 2009 | 71 | 12 | 65 | 5 | .261 |
| Career Average | 78 | 16 | 67 | 6 | .270 |
| 2010 Projected | 85 | 18 | 72 | 6 | .277 |
| Comments | Last season was a step backward after an impressive 2008 for Drew. His XBH tanked a bit, as did his AVG and HR. He has the tools to repeat 2008 so get him at a lower price this season. |
| |
| 2009 | 54 | 9 | 50 | 3 | .310 |
| Career Average | 91 | 26 | 106 | 8 | .312 |
| 2010 Projected | 77 | 15 | 82 | 2 | .303 |
| Comments | The power is gone for Maggs. His second half was impressive but still lacked pop. If he gets enough at-bats, expect mediocre numbers from a guy three seasons removed from a .363 AVG. |
| |
| 2009 | 57 | 11 | 83 | 0 | .254 |
| Career Average | 82 | 18 | 77 | 1 | .266 |
| 2010 Projected | 75 | 17 | 85 | 0 | .265 |
| Comments | After a power outage to start the season and a horrible September Peralta regressed to his poor 2006 numbers. He still qualifies at shortstop and brings significant power at the position. Don't expect 2008 but 2007 isn't out of the question. |
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